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I doubt that for desktops, touch screen will ever replace mouse and keyboard... Having to keep up your arm to touch stuff all the time would be annoying...
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Yea I don't think touch screen will ever completely replace the mouse and keyboard, though I did see this video where this guy was talking about different ways touch screen could be combined with normal desktop computers one way or another, like having a sort of roll-up touch screen as a second monitor flat out on your desk