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I'm POSITIVE that this game will NOT be MO2 because the OWI has emphatically and repeatedly stated that the next game would be the third in the quintology. End of story.
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Actually, they have emphatically and repeatedly stated that the next game would be concurrent (meaning happening at the same time) with the quintology but not part of it. I think that we can assume that the next quintology game will be Squeek.
On another note regarding the unpredictability of release dates, I heard a story about Sierra (who had a reputation of always keeping to their promised dates). One of their games was having problems right at the last moment so they actually sent out empty boxes to all the computer game stores and later apologised and claimed that their packaging department had made a mistake! I heard it from a former employee of Sierra.