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-   -   Global Warming- Fact or Fiction? (http://www.oddworldforums.net/showthread.php?t=14483)

Patrick Vykkers 10-02-2006 12:03 AM

I think you're pulling my leg;)

Strike Witch 10-02-2006 12:09 AM

No, I'm just an optimistic Sc-fi ethusieist who enjoys debate for debates' sake.

Patrick Vykkers 10-02-2006 12:12 AM

Oh, alright then:)

In that case, for science fiction solutions, how about a mini dyson sphere around Terra that collects Sol's rays and converts them into a power source, which is partially diverted in order to power artificial superlights.

EDIT: Or, just start again by placing Terra's entire population on the Death Star II, then going Base Delta Zero on the place, effectively affording a nice reboot.

Strike Witch 10-02-2006 12:18 AM

Or, we could just use the second moon, powered by black hole rockets, to conquer the universe.

Bullet Magnet 10-02-2006 12:21 AM

Messing with celestial bodies is both beyond our capability and not a good idea.

Patrick Vykkers 10-02-2006 12:23 AM

Or, ask Q for some quantum technology that kills things in all possible universes, and conquer the multiverse!

Or go even further and use the quantum technology to kill the Living Tribunal and conquer the Omniverse!

Mwahahaha!

Strike Witch 10-02-2006 12:24 AM

Who says?

It didn't stop NASA blowing a hole in some space rock.

Nate 10-02-2006 03:04 AM

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Obviously, Mother Earth. But even the most drastic cuts will barely make a dent in the vast array of other factors influencing global warming. At most, I'd say it would be slowed by 20%, ands thats if you count the influence of cows.

Can you bring a source for those numbers? Because I certainly can bring a source to say that cutting down CO2, methane and other emissions will reduce global warming by a far higher amount.

Note that I say 'far higher amount' rather than make up numbers.

Statikk HDM 10-02-2006 01:37 PM

Hey, while we're talking about farting cows, ever hear of farms using the methane produced for electricity? Happened around me in Wisconsin a few times, works out pretty well.
Taken from the manure. I'm not really sure how they'd get the gas.

Patrick Vykkers 10-02-2006 02:18 PM

Sorry, I should of said methane, not overall greenhouse emissions. But according to a quite reliable source (http://www.maf.govt.nz/mafnet/rural-...eengas-14.htm), humans contribute, on a global scale, around 0.59% of total methane output, and cows contribute 1.8%, making my figures overestimations. Methane is only 23% as strong as C02 in causing global warming though, so lets consider this chart (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:P...n_Dioxide.png). According to this chart, which is based on the GEOCARB, COPSE, and Rothmann models, under the GEOCARB and COPSE models, C02 550 million years ago was significantly higher than today. But it was around this period of time that life flourished, and the Cambrian explosion occured. So, C02 could actually be an extremely good thing for Terra's biosphere. Even the not so optimistic Rothmann model does not show a significant increase in C02 during the Holocene era.

Nate 10-02-2006 06:51 PM

Life would flourish. Only, humans probably would not. Certainly they wouldn't anywhere near a current coastline.

Saying something like "life will flourish" is pointless unless you follow the thought through.

Patrick Vykkers 10-02-2006 06:54 PM

Why not set up massive tree farms and develop a paste with similar properties to lumber then? Then the C02 will be balanced out, plus deforestation problems will be solved. And the C02 should help stop forest fires spreading.

Nate 10-02-2006 07:08 PM

I'm sorry? What would that help? If I'm setting up massive tree farms, why don't I just use the lumber?

And where am I going to put these farms then? Should I knock down some rainforest to do it?

Patrick Vykkers 10-02-2006 09:07 PM

Because trees convert C02 into oxygen.

magic9mushroom 10-02-2006 09:40 PM

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NOTE: Yes, I know we've had a thread on this before, but the last time it was posted in was eight months ago. Plus, it's still a relavent debate, and has become more "high profile" with the release of Al Gore's new comedy... err, documentary.

What does everybody here think about the theory of global warming? Does it exist? If it exists, is it anthropogenic? Has it happened before? Didn't they warn us of a new Ice Age thirty years ago? Discuss.

As for my thoughts, well, my general opinion of the global warming theory matches the title of a certain show by Penn & Teller. I have read a novel, "State of Fear" by Michael Crichton, that, although intended as fiction, is partially based on real events, and uses actual charts from extremely reliable sources (Namely the United Nations, NASA, and arctic scientists, some of which believe in global warming) and in one of the chapters, completely eviscerated the environmentalists argument.

Crichtons Mini Penn and Teller Show:
First, they looked more closely at the famous "hockey stick" graph, and showed that when looked at closely, despite that fact that between 1940 and 1970, C02 went up, temperature went down. Also, the hockey stick is a possibly deliberate half truth, as when looked at the total rise in temperature over 120 years is;

1/3rd of a degree.

Even that will probably die down, as temperature fluctuate over hundreds of years.

My Own Thoughts:
Also, global warming theory does not consider that to geology, 1 year is like 1 second.

Lastly, although scientists supposedly (emphasis on supposedly) found that temperatures was the hottest in 100000 years, figures can be twisted. Who funded the research? Was it peer reviewed? Did similar results occur in other tests? Science has shown that expectations of results can actually influence their outcome (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_blind_experiment). Is it not possible, indeed plausible, that the scientists involved were expecting such results? It is because of political pressure and media sensationalism that such stringent procedures are employed in the selection of jury members. Surely such an effect can affect even men and women of science?

I rest my boring monologue.

As taken out of said movie, 0% of peer reviewed articles question global warming. Also, the temperature has not had time to rise - it's a delayed reaction, as you'd know if you bothered to look anything up. Also, about the Ice Age dilemma, the areas of sinking water in the North Atlantic have already halved, and it is KNOWN that they are the only areas of sinking water in the world, and obviously this cannot be good. Also, people have SEEN the sea ice breaking up in Greenland and Antarctica, and a temperature rise of even a degree is extremely important as it moves timings and habitats around beyond species' ability to cope.

I rest my boring, but slightly more accurate, monologue.

Patrick Vykkers 10-02-2006 11:35 PM

Also, did you read what I said? I no longer deny global warming exists, but question its cause. In any case, Gore changes his story. He first says that according to the study, which measured one statistic, the peer reviewed studies never doubted the EXISTENCE of global warming, and then says that they never doubted the CAUSE of global warming as not being anthropogenic.

Nate 10-03-2006 01:18 AM

That just sounds to me like he's proving two similar points. They aren't mutually exclusive.

Please reread my last post. Then try and answer my questions.

Patrick Vykkers 10-03-2006 01:44 AM

For your question about space, bulldoze abandoned urban areas and use the resulting materials to help build the farm. And there is a difference from believing that global warming EXISTS AT ALL, and believing that global warming IS ANTHROPOGENIC.

Bullet Magnet 10-03-2006 02:36 AM

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C02 550 million years ago was significantly higher than today. But it was around this period of time that life flourished, and the Cambrian explosion occured. So, C02 could actually be an extremely good thing for Terra's biosphere. Even the not so optimistic Rothmann model does not show a significant increase in C02 during the Holocene era.

Of course CO2 levels have been higher. But that was 550 million years ago. Life was adapted to such conditions, something that life is not adapted to now. Therein lies the problem. The rate that anthropogenic global warming is and will increase is much higher than it ever has in the past. Ever noticed that every diversity explosion was preceeded by a mass extinction. In the past increases in atmospheric CO2 were relatively slow.

The carbon we put back in the atmosphere now was locked away since the Carboniferous, when trees in massive forests fell into swamps and became fossilised as coal. Oil comes from sea creatures, in which the carbon moved up the food chain before the dead were buried and compressed.

This is millions of years worth of CO2 and it is suddenly being returned to the atmosphere. It is true that years ago the Earth was much warmer, the Cenozoic is far cooler. We are actually in an Ice Age now, no other period had such large ice caps, and the temperatures cycle between full blown ice age and milder periods such as now. That is what life on earth is adapted to. Sudden increases in temperature will lead to mass extinction, and we are part of the ecosystem, whether we like it or not. We have evolved to prey on many of the planets creatures, and if they go, we go.

Even if warming triggers crash cooling, our society may not survive. We survived before, but as "cavemen". We live very differently now, and we each specialise in individual skills that require everyone else to be of use. Few of us could survive in the wild.

Cooling would be caused by the cessation of the Gulf stream. The northern hemisphere owes its unusually warm climate to warm water flowing from the Carrribean and Gulf of Mexico north to America and western europe. Decreasing salinity due to the melting ice cap can stop the stream completely, resulting in rapid cooling. Studies show that is is already weakening.

Nate 10-03-2006 04:26 AM

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For your question about space, bulldoze abandoned urban areas and use the resulting materials to help build the farm. And there is a difference from believing that global warming EXISTS AT ALL, and believing that global warming IS ANTHROPOGENIC.

What abandoned urban areas? The human population is increasing at a huge rate. There are few abandoned urban areas and virtually none of them would be appropriate for tree-farming. At least not without creating more pollution than the trees would suck up. That said, reforestation (and, more importantly, the non-destruction of old growth forests) is a major part of the Kyoto Protocol. But it will only work together with cutting down the production of CO2 as it is impossible to plant enough trees for the entire planet to be carbon neutral (unless we destroy all the cities and farming land).

Also: we get what you are saying about very little of global warming being anthropogenic. We just disagree.

Patrick Vykkers 10-03-2006 12:41 PM

Actually, the birth rate in Western nations is well below replacement level in some countries, and certainly has decreased significantly in just a century. And its fairly likely that with Western influence and contraception, birth rates will drop in Africa and Asia too. Also, those doomsday prediction are based on computer models, not historic observation.

magic9mushroom 10-03-2006 02:27 PM

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Actually, the birth rate in Western nations is well below replacement level in some countries, and certainly has decreased significantly in just a century. And its fairly likely that with Western influence and contraception, birth rates will drop in Africa and Asia too. Also, those doomsday prediction are based on computer models, not historic observation.

And look at temperatures in the Cambrian, before land plants, whn the CO2 level was huge. Bad. We do not want that much CO2.

Patrick Vykkers 10-03-2006 06:07 PM

Then regulate it by culling cows and planting trees.

Nate 10-03-2006 07:30 PM

Which would cost huge amounts of money, screw up our lifestyle and create huge amounts of pollution in order to heal a small amount. It seems to me it would be more efficient just not to create as much pollution in the first place.

*anticipates PV ignoring this post also*

Patrick Vykkers 10-03-2006 08:27 PM

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Which would cost huge amounts of money, screw up our lifestyle and create huge amounts of pollution in order to heal a small amount. It seems to me it would be more efficient just not to create as much pollution in the first place.

*anticipates PV ignoring this post also*

So what if some idiot has to pay $3.00 more for a Big Mac? It would be far more effective to concentrate on the problem itself and one of its major contributors than one of its minor contributors. Also, sorry about the ignoring of one post, I just was trying to primarily respond to magic9mushrooms post. My response to your post on the problems with the tree farms is this;

Cutting down carbon dioxide emissions will have little effect on global warming. Humans contribute a tiny amount to it. My evidence for this is the previously higher Cambrian temperatures before apes even existed, much less evolved into homo sapiens sapiens, became sapient, developed a sophisticated civilization, and had an Industrial Revolution. Historically, the burning of medieval forests resulted in HIGHER air pollution levels than today. I am not denying the possibility that a sapient species can have significant effects upon its homeworld, but are merely skeptical of doomsday predictions demanding hundreds of billions of dollars to be spent on but one aspect of the problem, or politicians, bureaucrats, lawyers, and publicity hounds attaching themselves to said doomsayers to enhance their careers.

EDIT: Also, many, many people, including reputable scientists, climatologists, news sources, and organizations believed that Terra was in danger of global COOLING (http://www.junkscience.com/apr05/coolingworld.pdf) only 30 years ago. They too offered charts, doomsday predictions, and scaremongering. And ultimately, it turned out to be a "Chicken Little" case.

Nate 10-03-2006 10:17 PM

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So what if some idiot has to pay $3.00 more for a Big Mac?

But how do you convince McDonalds to charge $3.00 more?

Bullet Magnet 10-04-2006 01:20 AM

Cut out an important source of income. Children, for example.

Patrick Vykkers 10-04-2006 02:14 AM

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But how do you convince McDonalds to charge $3.00 more?

Threaten higher taxes on them.

Nate 10-04-2006 02:59 AM

But then the corporations threaten to stop funding the political parties.

DarkHoodness 10-04-2006 03:51 AM

I can't really say anything here that hasn't been said already, but something off-topic but kind of related - They're now saying Global Warming is the biggest threat to mankind ever, and if we don't do something about it now, it'll cost us a lot more to sort out in the future. They say the damage to the planet will be irriversable in 10 years.

But then, we all value the War on Terror more then Global Warming. We spend more in Iraq then on cutting down our human impact.

Anyone else feel like we have our priorities messed? Anyone else feel like we're about to kill ourselves?

Still, it'll be the end of humanity - The earth has apparently had heat changes throughout its history. Many wildlife and other species will die too, but some will survive. Unlike us. Maybe we'll just get what we deserve. Compared to the other species, we don't balance with the planet anyway. . . Everything we do has a harmful impact, even if individauls are as "green" as they can be.

EDIT:
Equally they say that there's supposed to be an Ice Age soon. Maybe that'll balance it out by some fluke and we stay as we are. :P lol. Would be funny.

Bullet Magnet 10-04-2006 08:06 AM

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Anyone else feel like we have our priorities messed? Anyone else feel like we're about to kill ourselves?

Yes. But it's more aking to killing ourselves with alcohol.

:

Equally they say that there's supposed to be an Ice Age soon. Maybe that'll balance it out by some fluke and we stay as we are. :P lol. Would be funny.

Or bring it about by the decreasing salinity of the Atlantic ocean (due to the ice melting) stopping the Gulf Stream, causing rapid climate change, and increased snow cover, reflecting sunlight away from the Earth and cooling it further.

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But then the corporations threaten to stop funding the political parties.

Egad! Not the funding!

Kamille 10-04-2006 11:06 AM

I say its a good thing to eat meat, your killing animals that produce methane.

Nate 10-04-2006 05:27 PM

(Except the animals wouldn't be bred at the same numbers if you didn't eat them)

Patrick Vykkers 10-04-2006 06:23 PM

Well, there is the factor that not eating meat is unhealthy and can even cause severe problems in some people. Look at human teeth, and examine the evolution of the incisor and its purpose. The absurd vegetarian revisionism on "shredding leaves" reminds me of a similar and equally absurd hypothesis put forward by creationist "scientists" like Kent Hovind. Humans evolved to be omnivores, and probably will remain omnivores for the rest of their existence, as it is disadvantegous for a species to restrict its diet.

Anyway, cows produce far more methane than humans do, and this is largely due to their vegetarian diet. Vegetarians produce more methane than omnivores due to the effect their diet has on their digestive system. Cut back excess cows, which will, by the way, force Macdonalds and other burger chains to have to raise their prices due to the lower supply and high demand, which in turn makes them richer, the environment better, and the air a little cleaner.

Or alternatively, create regulations requiring methane collectors in every pasture. This will also create clean, waste free energy, which should also help the environment, at least as a secondary route. Once an effective method of nuclear waste disposal is found, start a large scale replacement of coal and oil power plants with nuclear ones, which will generate much more power for the world, and cut down pollution. Use the extra energy to help fuel rockets so that they are able to make faster trips to the Moon. Plant tree farms there, and collect some of the oxygen they produce into a fleet of supertankers. Then bring them down to Terra and release the oxygen, counteracting carbon dioxide the balance the air.

EDIT: Also, on the War on Terror thing, the problems from the War on Terror are the fault of humans and possibly powerful beings. Generally, if something can be stopped, its creator is one of the people who can stop it. Global warming, on the other hand, is certainly not mutually anthropogenic, and only a tiny percentage of it is caused by human activities.

magic9mushroom 10-04-2006 08:49 PM

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Well, there is the factor that not eating meat is unhealthy and can even cause severe problems in some people. Look at human teeth, and examine the evolution of the incisor and its purpose. The absurd vegetarian revisionism on "shredding leaves" reminds me of a similar and equally absurd hypothesis put forward by creationist "scientists" like Kent Hovind. Humans evolved to be omnivores, and probably will remain omnivores for the rest of their existence, as it is disadvantegous for a species to restrict its diet.

Anyway, cows produce far more methane than humans do, and this is largely due to their vegetarian diet. Vegetarians produce more methane than omnivores due to the effect their diet has on their digestive system. Cut back excess cows, which will, by the way, force Macdonalds and other burger chains to have to raise their prices due to the lower supply and high demand, which in turn makes them richer, the environment better, and the air a little cleaner.

Or alternatively, create regulations requiring methane collectors in every pasture. This will also create clean, waste free energy, which should also help the environment, at least as a secondary route. Once an effective method of nuclear waste disposal is found, start a large scale replacement of coal and oil power plants with nuclear ones, which will generate much more power for the world, and cut down pollution. Use the extra energy to help fuel rockets so that they are able to make faster trips to the Moon. Plant tree farms there, and collect some of the oxygen they produce into a fleet of supertankers. Then bring them down to Terra and release the oxygen, counteracting carbon dioxide the balance the air.

EDIT: Also, on the War on Terror thing, the problems from the War on Terror are the fault of humans and possibly powerful beings. Generally, if something can be stopped, its creator is one of the people who can stop it. Global warming, on the other hand, is certainly not mutually anthropogenic, and only a tiny percentage of it is caused by human activities.

A coupla problems. One, nuclear = non-renewable :. power debate when runout.

Two. You are wrong that only a tiny percentage is human. Stop making stupid generalisations, will ya, ya kiwi?

Patrick Vykkers 10-04-2006 09:44 PM

Everything is non renewable in the (absurdly) long term. However, atoms will be around decillions of years longer than humans or cows. So explain to me how energy gained from splitting the atom is non renewable. Also, A: Show me a direct correlation in a peer reviewed journal based on neutral, blindly funded research conducted by two or more seperate teams that proves that global warming is majority anthropogenic. And B: for the record, I'm actually a Scotsman. My residence in Aotearoa/New Zealand/Leftopia/Godzone is temporary.

Bullet Magnet 10-05-2006 04:43 AM

Well, here's the thing. You keep coming back to the fact that in Cambrain times CO2 levels were much higher. And they were, for purely natural reasons. Now they are much lower. Ever wondered where it all went?

The answer is underground. As I have said, in the Carboniferous alot of trees grew in swamps, and when they die they fall into the mud. Usually a dead organism would rot away, and the Carbon would return to the atmosphere, but in the anaerobic conditions in the mud, that could not happened. So they were fossilised, and the result is what we call coal, and substance that is mostly carbon.

We burn it. Combustion. The molecules are combining with oxygen in the atmosphere, and as it is mostly carbon, the result is CO2 (and some carbon monoxide). It goes back into the atmosphere. Now we know that Cabon Dioxide andhane (and to a lesser extent, water vapour) are greenhouse gasses: Their presence in the upper atmosphere increases the amount of heat that is reflected off of the Earth that is reflected again back to the ground.

Now tell me that burning fossil fuels is not a major contributing factor to Gobal Wrming.

Patrick Vykkers 10-05-2006 01:29 PM

Even so, the conditions in the Cambrian were extremely good for life, and helped it back on its legs after a mass extinction. So its perfectly possible global warming, even if it is anthropogenic, is good for the planet.

magic9mushroom 10-05-2006 02:22 PM

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Even so, the conditions in the Cambrian were extremely good for life, and helped it back on its legs after a mass extinction. So its perfectly possible global warming, even if it is anthropogenic, is good for the planet.

Extemely good for MAJOR diversification of life... not to keep the status quo. At those sort of temperatures and concentrations, humans and just about everything else on the planet would be wiped. Start over. This may be good for the final state of the world, but it sure as hell ain't good for us.

BM: A lot of it isn't underground, it's in living or decomposing plant matter, so burning forests adds to said thing.

Bullet Magnet 10-06-2006 12:31 AM

Yes, but I didn't include living matter, because it it still a regular part of the cycle. When things die, their carbon returns to the atmosphere. Oil and coal are in it for the long haul.

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Even so, the conditions in the Cambrian were extremely good for life, and helped it back on its legs after a mass extinction. So its perfectly possible global warming, even if it is anthropogenic, is good for the planet.

And the consequences of global warming will cure the problem, and the planet will recover. Unfortunately we, and so many other species, won't be around to enjoy it.